Kubva munaMay naChikumi, kusangana kwezviteshi zveEurope kwatove kuoneka, uye kusangana munharaunda yekumadokero kweUnited States hakuna kuzorodzwa zvakanyanya.Sekureva kweClarksons Container Port Congestion Index, kubva muna Chikumi 30, 36.2% yezvikepe zvepasi rose zvakavharirwa mumachiteshi, kubva pa31.5% kubva 2016 kusvika 2019 denda risati rasvika.#bepa mukombe fan

Kutaura zvazviri, mushure medenda, dambudziko rekuzara kwechiteshi harina kugadziriswa zvachose.Chimwe chezvikonzero zvekukwira kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu muhafu yechipiri yegore rapfuura inyaya yekuti kuzara kwechiteshi kwakakonzera kudzikiswa kukuru kwekumisikidzwa kwezvikepe, mudziyo unonetsa kuwana, uye kupa uye kudiwa hakuna kuenzana.

Munguva pfupi yapfuura, kurohwa pazviteshi zvakawanda kwakawedzera kukanganisa chirongwa chekushanda.Kunyangwe hazvo mamiriro ezvinhu adzikira kwenguva pfupi, mhedzisiro yekuramwa mabasa ichaenderera mberi, zvichikonzera kudhonzwa kwesimba rinoshanda rengarava dzemidziyo.

Kusiyana negore rapfuura, chakaperekedza kuzara kwechiteshi kwaisava kukwira kwemitengo, asi kudzikira kwemutengo wehafu yegore, uye kuwedzera kwekudiwa kwanga kusiri kwakanaka sezvaitarisirwa.

Kutsvikinyidzana pachiteshi kunowedzera

Muna June gore rino, chiteshi chengarava cheRotterdam, chiteshi chengarava chikurusa muEurope, chakanga chiri munjodzi, kusaririra kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera, uye nhamba huru yemidziyo isina chinhu yaisagona kushandiswa munguva.#pe yakavharwa bepa roll

Zviteshi zvengarava zviri kumahombekombe ekumabvazuva kweUnited States neGulf of Mexico, izvo zvakapatsanurwa kubva pachiteshi cheRotterdam neAtlantic Ocean, zvakazarawo nengarava dzemabhokisi dzakamirira kumira.Ongororo yeMarineTraffic ngarava yekutevera data uye mitsetse yengarava yeCalifornia yakaratidza ngarava zana nemakumi maviri neshanu dzakamirira kufona kunze kwezviteshi zveNorth America kubva munaChikunguru 8, kuwedzera kwe36 muzana kubva kungarava makumi mapfumbamwe neshanu mwedzi wapfuura.

Kusangana pazviteshi muEurope kwave kuenderera kwemazuva.Iyo Kiel trade indicator data yakaburitswa neKiel Institute for World Economics muGermany muna Chikunguru 6 inoratidza kuti kubva muna Chikumi, inopfuura 2% yekutakura zvinhu zvepasi rose yakamira muNorth Sea.#pe yakavharwa bepa roll yemapepa makapu

Mushure mekuwedzera kwekutakura ngarava, chiyero chekusvika panguva chemakambani ekutakura chakaderera.Indekisi yenguva yeJune liner yakaburitswa neShanghai Shipping Exchange inoratidza kuti kana paine kudzokororwa zvishoma muhuwandu hwekuchengeta nguva muna Chikumi, chiyero chekusvika panguva yeAsia-Europe nzira yekuenda kubasa uye sevhisi yekutumira i18.87% uye 18.87 % zvichiteerana.26.67%, kuwedzera kwe1.21 muzana uye kuderera kwe7.13 muzana kubva muna Chivabvu zvakateerana.

Munzira yeChina-US, kuungana pazviteshi zveLong Beach neLos Angeles kunoramba kwakakwira.Vamwe vanoongorora vakati nekudzoreredzwa kwechiteshi chechiteshi cheShanghai mushure meChikumi 1, huwandu hwengarava kubva kuChina kuenda kumadokero kweUnited States hwawedzera zvakanyanya.Zvikepe izvi zvakasvika zvine mutsindo muna Chikunguru, uye kutsvikinyidzana kwezviteshi zvekuMadokero kweUnited States kwawedzera.#pe yakavharwa bepa kapu kapu roll bepa

Kunyanya, maererano nekutumira mishumo yenhau yeUS, kubva muna Chikunguru 11, Port yeLong Beach yaive nemidziyo makumi maviri nemasere nemazana manomwe nemakumi maviri nematatu akaiswa kwemazuva mapfumbamwe kana kupfuura, yaive 9% yepamusoro pane yakazara mukupera kwaGumiguru.Mazuva gumi nemaviri apfuura akaona kusvetuka kwe40% muhuwandu hwemidziyo yakamiswa kwenguva yakareba.

Zvakadaro, Port of Los Angeles iri kuratidza zviratidzo zvekureruka mushure mekutsvikinyidzana, kuderera kwekukura kwekudiwa kwezvinhu zvevatengi kwadzoreredza kudzvanywa kwekutakura zvinhu mugungwa, uye mitengo yekutakura kubva kuAsia kuenda kuNorth America kumadokero kwemahombekombe yakada kusvika nepakati kubva kutanga kwegore.

Nekudaro, zvinofanirwa kucherechedzwa kuti kunyangwe mwero wekuchengeta nguva kwezviteshi zvakasiyana muWest America port group wakakwira zvakanyanya kana zvishoma pane yapfuura nguva munaChikumi, nekuda kwekurova kwevashandi vechitima, avhareji nguva yengarava muVancouver Port yaive kureba pamazuva 8.52;ngarava muLos Angeles Port Avhareji yenguva muchiteshi ndeye 6.13 mazuva;nguva yeavhareji muchiteshi cheLong Beach chiteshi mazuva 5.71.#pe yakavharwa bepa kapu raw material roll wholesale

Kuramwa mabasa kwevashandi kunowedzera kuvharika

Kuramwa mabasa kwemaawa makumi mana nemasere kwevashandi vekuGerman kwakatanga muna Chikunguru 14 uye kwakapera na6 mangwanani Mugovera.Vashandi vanosvika zviuru gumi nezviviri vachapinda mukuramwa mabasa uku, kusanganisira mashandiro emazuva ese ezviteshi zvikuru zvekuGermany zvakaita sePort of Hamburg, Bremerhaven neWilhelmshaven, izvo zvichakanganiswa zvakanyanya.Uku ndiko kurebesa chiteshi chengarava muGermany mumakore makumi mana.#pepar cup raw materials

Zvinoenderana nedata rakapihwa neHaitong Futures, kuramwa mabasa nguva pfupi yadarika uye kushaikwa kwevashandi kwakonzera zvakare kuwanda kwekuzara kwechiteshi.Ikozvino huwandu muchiteshi ndeye 2.15 miriyoni TEU, kumusoro 2.8% kubva kutanga kwaChikunguru uye 5.7% kubva paavhareji Chikumi.Nhamba yazvino yezvikepe zvemidziyo muPort yeRotterdam kuGermany ingangoita makumi matatu nemanomwe, uye huwandu hwacho hwakwira kusvika ku247,000 TEU, kuwedzera kwe13% kubva paavhareji muna Chikumi.

Sekureva kwaMaersk, kurova kwemaawa makumi mana nemasere kumateshi eGerman kwakakanganisa mashandiro ayo muBremerhaven, Hamburg neWilhelmshaven.Mushure mekuramwa mabasa, makambani anotakura ngarava ari mushishi kugadzirisa marongero awo ekutumira kuNorthern Europe, izvo zvinotarisirwa kukonzeresa kufamba kwechikepe kwakawanda.Dzimwe nhaurirano pakati peCentral Association yeGerman Seaport Companies (ZDS) uye mibatanidzwa ichaitika kusvika 26 Nyamavhuvhu.#raw material bepa cup

Pamusoro pekuramwa mabasa, kushomeka kwevashandi muPort of Rotterdam kwave kutadzisawo budiriro yechiteshi ichi.Mukuru wePort of Rotterdam, Allard Castelein, nguva pfupi yadarika akaudza vatori venhau kuti nekuvandudzwa kwechiteshi ichi, pari zvino pane mapopoma emabasa zviuru zvisere muPort of Rotterdam.

Panguva imwecheteyo, muna Chikunguru 13, nguva yemuno, vamwe vatyairi munzvimbo yeLos Angeles vakazivisa kuramwa, vachiwedzera kumanikidza kune yatove kunetsa kwekutengesa.Zvinoenderana neazvino data kubva kuPort of Los Angeles, kubva munaChikunguru 13, pakanga paine 32,412 zvitima zvenjanji zvakamirira kutumirwa pachiteshi, izvo makumi maviri nemazana mashanu nemakumi matatu nemazana matatu nemazana mashanu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu nemazana matatu etatu kakadzimwa kwemazuva mapfumbamwe kana kudarika.

Ko “zvakaoma kuwana bhokisi” zvichadzoka here?

Mumunda wekutumira, chero chinongedzo chisina kunyorova chinokonzeresa kudhumhana mune yese yekugovera cheni.Iyo ichangoburwa congestion yechiteshi yakaisa kudzvanywa pakutenderera kwemudziyo usina chinhu.

Sekureva kwaVincent Starmer, mukuru wezviratidziro zvekutengeserana kuKiel, kutengeserana kwenyika kwakaratidza maitiro akanaka munaJune, asi kusangana kwakasimba, mutengo wekufambisa wakakwira uye kukonzeresa kwekutengesa kunetsa kwakatadzisa kuchinjana kwezvinhu.

Vakazotsanangura zvakare kuti kana huwandu hwekutakura hwaunganidzwa, chiteshi chengarava, chivanze chemidziyo uye hurongwa hwemukati menyika zvinokonzeresa kumanikidzana kukuru, uye dzvinyiriro huru iyi icharamba ichienderera kwemakore akati wandei.Nekuda kweizvozvo, midziyo isina chinhu iri kuungana pachiteshi, uye midziyo yakawanda iri kuenda nekudzoka, kusanganisira nhamba huru yemidziyo inofanirwa kuendeswa kuAsia.#bepa kapu fan raw material

Ruzivo rwakamboburitswa naMaersk runoratidzawo kuti kutanga kwaChikumi 30, mwero wekushandiswa kweyadhi yeVancouver wakapfuura zana, uye mudziyo wakavigwa.Mwero wekushandiswa kweyadhi yemidziyo yakasvika 113% musi waChikunguru 8.

Zhang Dejun, maneja mukuru weChina Taicang Ocean Shipping Agency Co., Ltd., akaudza Jiemian News kuti mushure mekunge chiteshi chengarava chazara, nguva yekuchengetedza yemidziyo inorema pachiteshi, kusanganisira nguva yekuburitsa, ichawedzerwa zvakanyanya, izvo zvakare. zvinoreva kuti nguva yekushanda yemudziyo ichawedzerwa zvakanyanya, zvichikonzera kushomeka kwekutumira kunze mabhokisi asina chinhu.

Kana ari mamiriro ezvinhu aripo, Claudio Bozzo, mukuru anoshanda weMedithera Shipping (MSC), kambani hombe yepasirese, iyo yagara iri pasi-kiyi uye isinganzwisisike, akati zvinotarisirwa kuti mamiriro ezvinhu anogona kuwedzera mune mashoma anotevera. mwedzi, uye mamiriro azvino ekusangana anoenderera mberi kusvika kwasara 2022.

Kuzara ndicho chinhu chikuru chinokwidza mitengo yezvinhu.Chirevo chekuongorora chakaitwa neSDIC Anxin Futures Research Institute chinoratidza kuti kushata kuri kuramba kuchiitika kwezviteshi zveEurope neAmerica kuchadzora zvakare huwandu hwazvino hwekutakura uye kukanganisa kupihwa kwekutakura kwakanaka mumusika.Yakamisikidzwa pamwaka unouya wepamusoro wekutumira, ichaita imwe tsigiro yemitengo yekutakura munguva pfupi..Pamusoro pezvo, zororo repamusoro rezhizha rinogona kuwedzera kuomesa simba revashandi, uye kudonha kwemvura kweRhine kunoganhurira zvifambiso zvemukati menyika, izvo zvinowedzerawo njodzi yekuwedzera kuzara kwechiteshi.

Kunyange zvakadaro, kuderera kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu hakuna kuchinja zvakanyanya.Zvinoenderana neazvino data kubva kuShanghai Shipping Exchange, iyo Container Freight Index (SCFI) yakadzikira pasi ne1.67% kusvika 4074.70 mapoinzi, iyo chiyero chekutakura vhoriyamu yakakura kwazvo muUS-Western nzira yakadonha ne3.39%, uye yakawira pasi. US$7,000 pagaba rine tsoka makumi mana.Huya ku6883 US.Iyo yazvino Drewry index inoratidzawo kuti kuongororwa kwevhiki nevhiki kwekutakura zvinhu kubva kuShanghai kuenda kuLos Angeles iUS $ 7,480/FEU, kudzika 23% gore-pa-gore.Ongororo iyi i40% pazasi pehuwandu hwemadhora gumi nemaviri nemakumi mana nemakumi mana nemakumi mana neshanu / FEU mukupera kwaMbudzi 2021, asi ichiri 5.3 nguva dzakakwirira kupfuura chiyero chenguva imwe cheteyo muna 2019.#pe yakavharwa bepa raw material yepepa cup fan

Kuderera uku hakuna hukama nekuderera kwekuda kwekutengeserana.Zhang Dejun akataura kuti panguva yekubuda kwedenda muShanghai muhafu yekutanga yegore rino, kambani yaifanira kuramba ichironga nekubatsira vanotakura zvinhu kuendesa zvinhu.Iye zvino kuti kudiwa kwadzikira, zvinodikanwa kuramba uchitsvaga zvinhu zvemakambani ekutumira.Kuchinja kwakafanana kwakaitika kune vamwe vanoendesa mberi.Maererano nemamiriro ezvinhu aripo, zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana zvine chokuita nekutakura zvinopindirana, uye mararamiro emangwana haana kunyatsojeka.

Chirevo chekuongorora chataurwa pamusoro cheSDIC Anxin Futures Research Institute inotenda kuti huwandu hwekutakura huchachengetedza kushanduka mukati mechikamu chepuratifomu, uye kunyange kudzokororwa, asi musika unopisa wekukwira kwemitengo mumwaka wepamusoro gore rapfuura wakaoma kubereka.#Pepa Mukombe Wemapepa, Pepa Mukombe Mbishi, Pe Yakavharwa Pepa Roll - Dihui (nndhpaper.com)